Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.76%) and 0-3 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.