Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.