Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
0 - 0
Farense

Frimpong (56'), Ramos (87')

Pastor (29'), Matias (37'), Falcao (61'), Jorge (76')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

We said: Moreirense 0-1 SC Farense

Moreirense may be nine places above Farense in the table, but the visitors are in marginally better form ahead of this weekend's clash. Marreco's side could edge a win on Sunday, but given that no team have scored fewer goals than them in the Primeira Liga this season, they will need to be solid defensively if they are to escape with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	SC Farense
39.63% ( -0.15)	27.9% ( 0.02)	32.47% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.78% (

-0.03)

58.22% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.14% (

-0.02)

78.86% (

0.03)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

-0.1)

28.67% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52% (

-0.13)

64.48% (

0.13)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

0.08)

33.19% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.21% (

0.08)

69.8% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 39.63%

SC Farense 32.47%

Draw 27.9%

Moreirense	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.63%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.47%