SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
50.74% ( -0.12) | 24.74% ( 0.04) | 24.52% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.08) | 50.04% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( -0.07) | 72.02% ( 0.07) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.08) | 19.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.13) | 51.74% ( 0.13) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( 0.03) | 35.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( 0.03) | 71.77% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.52% |
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