Fresh off the back of reaching the fifth round of the Taca de Portugal, Rio Ave and Moreirense head into this with high spirits and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict they will cancel out each other's efforts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
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