MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 13:41:49
SM
Sunday, April 28
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N
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Dec 6, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
SC

Nacional
1 - 3
Santa Clara

Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
36.38%28.49%35.13%
Both teams to score 46.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.97%60.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.74%80.26%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48%31.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09%67.91%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67%32.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.38%
    Santa Clara 35.12%
    Draw 28.48%
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 6.79%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.12%

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