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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Nov 8, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
GV

Nacional
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Camacho (57'), Rochez (90+3')
Thill (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sam (45+5')
Leautey (49'), Goncalves (68'), Nogueira (82'), Mineiro (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawGil Vicente
42.84%29.44%27.72%
Both teams to score 41.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.27%64.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.3%83.7%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.17%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.59%40.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98%77.02%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 42.83%
    Gil Vicente 27.72%
    Draw 29.42%
NacionalDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.59%
2-0 @ 8.78%
2-1 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 42.83%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 12.13%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 27.72%


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