Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.24%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
