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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Nov 29, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal
N

Portimonense
1 - 0
Nacional

Fabricio (89' pen.)
Dener (36'), Luquinhas (62'), Sa (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cesar (78')
Cesar (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawNacional
38.68%27.29%34.03%
Both teams to score 49.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34%55.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19%76.81%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38%63.62%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9%67.1%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 38.67%
    Nacional 34.03%
    Draw 27.28%
PortimonenseDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 10.15%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.03%

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