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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
M

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Maritimo

Carlos (12')
Tanque (83'), Fonseca (88'), Costa (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joel (40')
Bambock (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
37.4%29.83%32.77%
Both teams to score 42.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.31%64.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33%83.67%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.89%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78%73.22%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 37.39%
    Maritimo 32.77%
    Draw 29.82%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.33%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.69%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.12%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 12.24%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 32.77%

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