Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
