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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
PD

Maritimo
0 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira


Africo (38'), Bambock (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costa (29'), Carlos (48'), Singh (85')
Fonseca (43'), Ferreira (61'), Singh (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawPacos de Ferreira
31.93%28.51%39.56%
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.48%60.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37%80.63%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22%34.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48%71.52%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.91%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 31.92%
    Pacos de Ferreira 39.56%
    Draw 28.5%
MaritimoDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.79%
3-1 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.92%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 12.55%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 39.56%

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