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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal
B

Portimonense
2 - 0
Belenenses

Nakajima (10'), Sa (83')
Imbula (25'), Pedrao (54'), Possignolo (63'), Boa Morte (73'), Portugal (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sousa (2'), Akas (12'), Phete (79'), Sousa (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawBelenenses
49.05%29.1%21.85%
Both teams to score 38.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.19%66.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.87%85.13%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22%27.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64%63.36%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37%82.63%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 49.05%
    Belenenses 21.85%
    Draw 29.1%
PortimonenseDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 16.79%
2-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 8.08%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 3.45%
4-0 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.3%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 49.05%
0-0 @ 13.11%
1-1 @ 12.61%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 3.7%
1-3 @ 1.19%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.85%

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