Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
