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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
B

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Belenenses


Estupinan (36'), Borevkovic (51'), Andre (90+5'), Janvier (90+9')
Semedo (11'), Borevkovic (60')
FT

Sousa (72'), Safira (90+2'), Nuno (90+13'), Camara (90+15')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBelenenses
59.2%24.02%16.78%
Both teams to score 43.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94%56.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86%77.14%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25%18.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86%50.14%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.28%46.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73%82.27%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 59.2%
    Belenenses 16.78%
    Draw 24.02%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 14.66%
2-0 @ 12.27%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 5.21%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.67%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 16.78%

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