Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
