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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
Jul 26, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
DD

Portimonense
2 - 0
Aves

Willyan (62'), Dener (89')
Boa Morte (22'), Willyan (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakhite (3'), Soares (80'), Tavares (87')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Desportivo das Aves.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawDesportivo das Aves
59.09%23.63%17.28%
Both teams to score 45.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.08%53.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63%75.37%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14%48.86%
Desportivo das Aves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.2%44.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.23%80.77%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 59.08%
    Desportivo das Aves 17.28%
    Draw 23.62%
PortimonenseDrawDesportivo das Aves
1-0 @ 13.82%
2-0 @ 11.85%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.44%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 8.06%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 6.47%
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.28%


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