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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
Jul 21, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio do CD das Aves
B

Aves
0 - 4
Benfica


Morais (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (4'), Pizzi (52' pen.), Ramos (87', 90+3')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Desportivo das Aves and Benfica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.67%) and 0-3 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Desportivo das AvesDrawBenfica
8.76%18.1%73.14%
Both teams to score 37.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.59%50.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.65%72.35%
Desportivo das Aves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.15%56.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.04%88.95%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66%12.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.85%38.15%
Score Analysis
    Desportivo das Aves 8.76%
    Benfica 73.13%
    Draw 18.1%
Desportivo das AvesDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-1 @ 2.34%
2-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 8.76%
1-1 @ 8.29%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 18.1%
0-2 @ 15.35%
0-1 @ 14.67%
0-3 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.67%
1-3 @ 6.05%
0-4 @ 5.61%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-5 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-5 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 73.13%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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