SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.67%) and 0-3 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Benfica |
| 8.76% | 18.1% | 73.14% |
| Both teams to score 37.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.59% | 50.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.65% | 72.35% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.15% | 56.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.04% | 88.95% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% | 12.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.85% | 38.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Desportivo das Aves | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 3.96% 2-1 @ 2.34% 2-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.34% Total : 8.76% | 1-1 @ 8.29% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.35% Total : 18.1% | 0-2 @ 15.35% 0-1 @ 14.67% 0-3 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.67% 1-3 @ 6.05% 0-4 @ 5.61% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-5 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.52% Total : 73.13% |
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