Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
