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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
N

Moreirense
2 - 2
Nacional

Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawNacional
39.87%28.1%32.03%
Both teams to score 46.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94%59.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49%79.51%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07%28.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18%64.82%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06%33.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.39%70.61%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 39.86%
    Nacional 32.03%
    Draw 28.1%
MoreirenseDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.61%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.03%

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