Tondela
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Pedro (88' pen.)
Pedro (82'), Toro (90'), Pepelu (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tanque (10', 45'), Tavares (68' og.)
Tanque (63'), Marcelo (72'), Silva (87'), Denilson (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
39.4%	27.53%	33.08%

Both teams to score 48.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26%

56.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31%

77.69%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24%

63.76%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.99%

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.53%

68.48%

Score Analysis

Tondela 39.39%

Pacos de Ferreira 33.07%

Draw 27.52%

Tondela	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.39%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 7.41% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.07%