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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Jun 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Joao Cardoso
PD

Tondela
1 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Pedro (88' pen.)
Pedro (82'), Toro (90'), Pepelu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tanque (10', 45'), Tavares (68' og.)
Tanque (63'), Marcelo (72'), Silva (87'), Denilson (90+3')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TondelaDrawPacos de Ferreira
39.4%27.53%33.08%
Both teams to score 48.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.26%56.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.31%77.69%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91%28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24%63.76%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99%32.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53%68.48%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 39.39%
    Pacos de Ferreira 33.07%
    Draw 27.52%
TondelaDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.83%
1-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.07%


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