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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
B

Tondela
0 - 4
Braga


Bebeto (60')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Viana (22'), Galeno (26', 43'), Horta (29')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawBraga
22.54%24.71%52.74%
Both teams to score 50.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24%51.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47%73.53%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21%37.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44%74.56%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47%51.53%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 22.54%
    Braga 52.74%
    Draw 24.71%
TondelaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-1 @ 5.72%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 7.4%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 12.06%
0-2 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-3 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 5.2%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 52.74%


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