Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.