SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
| 51.23% | 24.22% | 24.56% |
| Both teams to score 53.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% | 47.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% | 70.02% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% | 18.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.99% | 50.01% |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.54% | 70.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.22% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
