Looking at the positions of both teams in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to one another. However, Gil Vicente have struggled to get going on home turf this season, picking up eight points from eight games, and we predict they will settle for a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
