SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
64.27% ( -0.52) | 19.89% ( 0.24) | 15.84% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.51) | 40.8% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.81% ( -0.53) | 63.19% ( 0.53) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88% ( -0.29) | 12% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.56% ( -0.63) | 37.44% ( 0.63) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( 0.05) | 38.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.52% ( 0.05) | 75.48% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
| 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.89% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.84% |
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