SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 9-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
64.71% ( 0.49) | 18.67% ( -0.1) | 16.62% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.24) | 33.37% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.85% ( -0.27) | 55.15% ( 0.28) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.25% ( 0.05) | 9.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.55% ( 0.11) | 32.44% ( -0.11) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( -0.58) | 33.18% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.21% ( -0.64) | 69.78% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.56% Total : 64.71% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.67% | 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.62% |
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