Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.