Needing to go all out for a big win on Wednesday night, Qarabag are likely to take an attacking approach, meaning that there could be space at the back for the visitors to exploit.
We feel that an early goal for the Horsemen will strike fear into the eyes of the Blues, who will go on to record a draw on the night and advance into the Champions League.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
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