SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Qatar SC |
29.65% ( 0.26) | 24.27% | 46.08% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.92% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( 0.14) | 44.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.13) | 66.79% ( -0.13) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.25) | 28.12% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.31) | 63.79% ( -0.31) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( -0.05) | 19.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( -0.09) | 51.24% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Qatar SC |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.65% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.08% |
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