SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 18.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 0-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Al Gharafa win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Duhail |
18.67% ( 0.01) | 19.55% ( 0.09) | 61.78% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.07% ( -0.4) | 33.93% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.21% ( -0.45) | 55.79% ( 0.45) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.23) | 31.34% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( -0.26) | 67.7% ( 0.26) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.37% ( -0.14) | 10.63% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.55% ( -0.32) | 34.45% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.67% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.26% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 61.78% |
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