SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Duhail |
33.57% ( 0.94) | 25.01% ( 0.23) | 41.41% ( -1.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.8) | 46.19% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.76) | 68.48% ( 0.76) |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.18) | 26.48% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( 0.25) | 61.66% ( -0.25) |
| Al-Duhail Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.9) | 22.24% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -1.37) | 55.68% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Duhail |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.42% |
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