SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Markhiya |
51.51% ( -0.03) | 22.47% ( 0.03) | 26.02% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( -0.15) | 38.65% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.16) | 60.95% ( 0.15) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.07) | 15.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.12) | 43.79% ( 0.12) |
| Al Markhiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( -0.08) | 27.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.72% ( -0.1) | 63.28% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Markhiya |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 26.02% |
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