Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 55.97%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 23.05% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Rayyan would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Ahli | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
23.05% ( 0.49) | 20.98% ( 0.03) | 55.97% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.4% ( 0.46) | 34.59% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.46% ( 0.52) | 56.53% ( -0.52) |
Al Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( 0.65) | 27.79% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( 0.83) | 63.37% ( -0.84) |
Al-Rayyan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.6% ( -0) | 12.4% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.71% | 38.28% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Al Ahli | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.57% Total : 23.05% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 55.97% |
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