SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Gharafa |
45.83% ( -0.09) | 23.81% ( 0.01) | 30.35% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( 0.02) | 41.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( 0.02) | 64.33% ( -0.02) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( -0.03) | 18.52% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -0.05) | 49.76% ( 0.05) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.07) | 26.41% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( 0.09) | 61.57% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Rayyan | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.35% |
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