Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Markhiya win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Markhiya win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Umm Salal	Draw	Al Markhiya
36.44% ( -0)	24.32% ( 0)	39.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5% (

-0)

42.5% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1%

64.9% (

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88%

23.12% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02% (

-0)

56.98% (

0.01)

Al Markhiya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

54.86% (

Score Analysis

Umm Salal 36.44%

Al Markhiya 39.24%

Draw 24.32%

Umm Salal	Draw	Al Markhiya
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.44%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.24%