SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 20.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Arabi |
60.02% ( 0.26) | 19.27% ( 0.01) | 20.71% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 66.25% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.48) | 29.27% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.69% ( -0.59) | 50.3% ( 0.59) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.32% ( -0.08) | 9.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.71% ( -0.19) | 32.28% ( 0.19) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -0.52) | 26.65% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -0.7) | 61.89% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Sadd | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.95% Total : 60.02% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.75% Total : 20.71% |
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