SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.45%) and 1-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Arabi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
51.47% ( -0.01) | 21.43% | 27.1% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 66.21% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.33% ( 0) | 32.67% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.66% ( 0) | 54.34% ( -0.01) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( -0) | 13.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.31% | 39.69% ( -0) |
| Al Mu'aidar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( 0) | 23.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( 0) | 57.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Mu'aidar |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.22% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.38% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.12% 3-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.1% |
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