SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Al-Sadd had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Al-Sadd win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Al-Sadd |
43.28% ( -0.03) | 23.59% ( 0.03) | 33.12% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( -0.16) | 39.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -0.16) | 62.03% ( 0.16) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.08) | 18.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( -0.13) | 50.01% ( 0.13) |
| Al-Sadd Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.08) | 23.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.11) | 57.73% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Al-Sadd |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.12% |
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