Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.69%) and 1-3 (6.47%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Umm Salal | Draw | Al Arabi |
25.63% ( -0.18) | 21.14% ( 0.07) | 53.23% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 65.85% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.46% ( -0.5) | 32.54% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.81% ( -0.58) | 54.19% ( 0.58) |
Umm Salal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% ( -0.39) | 24.74% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.71% ( -0.55) | 59.29% ( 0.55) |
Al Arabi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.49% ( -0.13) | 12.51% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.49% ( -0.28) | 38.51% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Umm Salal | Draw | Al Arabi |
2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.63% | 1-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 53.23% |
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