Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Umm Salal |
32.6% ( 0.13) | 24.49% ( 0.04) | 42.91% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% ( -0.13) | 44.09% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% ( -0.12) | 66.47% ( 0.12) |
Al Mu'aidar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.94% ( 0.02) | 26.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( 0.03) | 61.1% ( -0.03) |
Umm Salal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( -0.13) | 20.66% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% ( -0.2) | 53.24% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Al Mu'aidar | Draw | Umm Salal |
2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.91% |
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