SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 38.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Wakrah in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Umm Salal |
39.02% ( 0.33) | 22.88% ( -0.03) | 38.1% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 65.83% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.13) | 35.22% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.77% ( 0.14) | 57.23% ( -0.14) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( 0.2) | 18.65% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( 0.34) | 49.98% ( -0.34) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( -0.08) | 19.07% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( -0.13) | 50.67% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wakrah | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 38.1% |
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