SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shahaniya win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shahaniya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shahaniya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shahaniya | Draw | Umm Salal |
39.9% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( 0.11) | 35.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.52) | 41.68% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.53) | 64.08% ( 0.53) |
| Al Shahaniya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.27) | 21.03% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.18% ( -0.43) | 53.81% ( 0.43) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.24) | 23.01% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.19% ( -0.36) | 56.81% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shahaniya | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.96% |
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