SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Umm Salal |
47.58% ( -0.2) | 23.48% ( 0.02) | 28.94% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.02) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( -0.13) | 48.07% ( 0.13) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.13) | 26.96% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 0.17) | 62.3% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 47.58% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.94% |
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