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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Ahli |
44.47% ( -0.42) | 23.09% ( 0.11) | 32.44% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.7% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( -0.38) | 37.47% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0.41) | 59.7% ( 0.41) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.31) | 17.31% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( -0.56) | 47.66% ( 0.56) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0) | 22.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0) | 56.77% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.11% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.44% |
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