SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Al Shahaniya had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Al Shahaniya win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shahaniya |
45.87% ( 0.02) | 23.06% ( -0.03) | 31.07% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.1% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.03% ( 0.14) | 37.97% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( 0.15) | 60.23% ( -0.14) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( 0.06) | 16.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.96% ( 0.11) | 47.04% ( -0.1) |
| Al Shahaniya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( 0.08) | 24.02% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( 0.11) | 58.27% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umm Salal | Draw | Al Shahaniya |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 4.23% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.07% |
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