SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar SC | Draw | Al Gharafa |
25% ( 0.08) | 20.36% ( 0.01) | 54.63% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 68.12% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.03) | 29.32% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.63% ( 0.04) | 50.37% ( -0.05) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.08) | 23.41% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( 0.11) | 57.41% ( -0.12) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.02) | 11.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.6% ( -0.03) | 35.39% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar SC | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 25.01% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.36% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.63% |
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