Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Gharafa would win this match.

Result
Qatar SC	Draw	Al Gharafa
25% ( 0.08)	20.36% ( 0.01)	54.63% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 68.12% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.68% (

0.03)

29.32% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.63% (

0.04)

50.37% (

-0.05)

Qatar SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

0.08)

23.41% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

0.11)

57.41% (

-0.12)

Al Gharafa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

-0.02)

11.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.6% (

-0.03)

35.39% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Qatar SC 25.01%

Al Gharafa 54.63%

Draw 20.36%

Qatar SC	Draw	Al Gharafa
2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 25.01%	1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.36%	1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.29% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.63%