SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Gharafa |
16.51% ( -0.15) | 18.52% ( -0.02) | 64.97% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.21) | 32.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.43% ( -0.24) | 54.57% ( 0.24) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.3) | 32.99% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( -0.34) | 69.57% ( 0.34) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.45% ( -0.02) | 9.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.03% ( -0.04) | 31.97% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.51% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.52% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 7.55% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.97% |
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