SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Rayyan win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
35.95% ( 0.13) | 22.77% ( 0.1) | 41.28% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.14% ( -0.47) | 34.85% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.53) | 56.83% ( 0.53) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.15) | 19.92% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( -0.24) | 52.06% ( 0.24) |
| Al-Rayyan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( -0.29) | 17.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( -0.51) | 48.05% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.17% Total : 41.28% |
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