SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Al Ahli had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for an Al Ahli win it was 2-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Gharafa |
12.73% ( 0.14) | 14.89% ( 0.15) | 72.37% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 65.29% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.38) | 22.99% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.75% ( -0.52) | 42.24% ( 0.53) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.1) | 30.82% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( -0.12) | 67.09% ( 0.13) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.38% ( -0.13) | 5.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.21% ( -0.38) | 21.78% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 12.73% | 1-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.46% Total : 14.89% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 8.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.84% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 4.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)1-6 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-6 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 72.37% |
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