SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Umm Salal had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Umm Salal win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qatar SC | Draw | Umm Salal |
40.83% ( 0.89) | 23.52% ( -0.09) | 35.64% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 63.07% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( 0.35) | 38.7% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.99% ( 0.37) | 61% ( -0.37) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( 0.55) | 19.33% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.9% ( 0.89) | 51.09% ( -0.89) |
| Umm Salal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.25) | 21.81% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.97% ( -0.38) | 55.03% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar SC | Draw | Umm Salal |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.33% Total : 40.83% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.64% |
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